Market Analysis
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AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Q2 2026 Earnings Recap: Revenue and EPS Missed, but the Stock Barely Moved
ASTS missed Q2 2026 revenue and EPS estimates by a wide margin, yet the stock fell only about 6%, far less than the 14.5% move priced into the options market.
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SMCI Q4 FY2026 Earnings Recap: The Pre-Announced Miss That Still Beat on EPS
Super Micro Computer reported fiscal Q4 2026 results Tuesday, August 11, after the market close, three weeks after pre-announcing that revenue would land near the low end of its $11.0 billion to $12.5 billion guidance range. The formal print confirmed that part of the story: revenue came in at $11.12 billion, close to the bottom…
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DraftKings Q2 2026 Earnings Recap: Why DKNG Rallied 8% After Missing on Revenue and EPS
DraftKings missed on revenue, missed on adjusted EPS, and swung back to a GAAP net loss in its Q2 2026 report. The stock still closed up 8.39% the next trading day. If you only watched the after-hours tape the night of the release, you saw the opposite move: DKNG dipped to roughly $21.90, down about…
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Rocket Lab (RKLB) Q2 2026 Earnings Recap: The Record Quarter That Still Sent the Stock Down 7%
RKLB posted record $234M revenue and a $2.36B backlog, then fell about 7% after hours on Neutron delay risk. Here is what actually moved the stock.
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SpaceX (SPCX) Q2 2026 Earnings Recap: Revenue Beats, Stock Falls 13% on AI Capex Shock
SpaceX’s first earnings report beat on revenue but fell 13% on AI capex. What options traders should know before today’s lock-up expiration.
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Duolingo (DUOL) Q2 2026 Pre-Earnings Options Setup: Pricing the Story Stock’s Volatility Ahead of the Print
Duolingo reports Q2 2026 results today, August 5, after the close, with a 5:00pm ET webcast. Options are pricing a 15.1% post-earnings move, roughly $19.70 on a stock trading near $130.70, more than five times the implied move on a mega-cap name reporting this same earnings season. That gap is the story: DUOL trades less…
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AMD Q2 FY2026 Pre-Earnings Options Setup: Expected Move and the MI350 Ramp
AMD reports Q2 FY2026 results today after the market close. See what options are pricing for the move and why last quarter’s swing doubled the estimate.
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Caterpillar Q2 2026 Earnings: Pricing the Industrial Bellwether’s Options Move
Caterpillar reports Q2 2026 earnings Aug. 4. Options price a 6.1% move, but CAT has beaten its implied move in 5 of the last 8 quarters. Here’s the setup.
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Palantir Q2 2026 Earnings Recap: The Beat That Broke Its ‘Priced for Perfection’ Pattern
PLTR beat Q2 2026 estimates on every metric and the stock jumped nearly 30%, the opposite of Q1’s muted reaction. What changed, and what options priced wrong.
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Marriott Q2 2026 Earnings Options Setup: Pricing Travel Demand Into Monday’s Tight-Window Print
Marriott International reports second-quarter 2026 results Monday morning, and options traders have priced in one of the smaller moves of this earnings season: roughly 3.9%. That number is easy to read as “low risk.” It isn’t. Marriott has blown past its own priced move in half of its last eight reports, including one instance where…