Market Analysis
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NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 Earnings Setup: NVDA Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Analysis
NVDA reports Wednesday, August 26. Here’s what the options market is pricing for the move, how NVDA’s actual earnings moves have compared to implied historically, and hypothetical strategy framing, not a forecast.
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Intuit (INTU) Q4 FY2026 Earnings Options Setup: Pricing the AI Agent Pivot Into the Print
Intuit reports Q4 FY2026 earnings Aug. 25. Here’s how to read the 5.2% implied move, TurboTax’s seasonal quirk, and the AI agent bet driving guidance.
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XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 Pre-Earnings Options Setup: Pricing China EV Delivery Growth and the Robotaxi Pivot Into the Print
XPeng reports Q2 2026 results Monday, August 24. The 103,295-unit delivery beat is already public; here’s what the options market is actually pricing for the print.
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PDD Holdings Q2 2026 Pre-Earnings Options Setup: Pricing China Consumer Demand and Temu’s Global Expansion Into the Print
PDD Holdings reports Q2 2026 results Monday, August 24, 2026, before the US market opens, with a 7:30 AM ET call. The options market is currently pricing an implied move of roughly 7.8% for the event, but PDD’s own history says pay attention to the tail risk: last quarter’s actual move was 10.37% by the…
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Deere (DE) Q3 FY2026 Earnings: What the Options Market Is Pricing Into Thursday’s Print
Deere reports fiscal Q3 2026 results Thursday morning before the opening bell, and this is not a one-sided beat-or-miss setup. The company is absorbing roughly $1.2 billion in direct tariff costs this fiscal year while its two core businesses are pulling in opposite directions: large agricultural equipment demand is still shrinking, but construction equipment is…
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Alibaba (BABA) Fiscal Q1 2027 Pre-Earnings Options Setup: Pricing China E-Commerce and Cloud Growth Into the Print
Alibaba reports fiscal Q1 2027 results Thursday, August 20, 2026, before the market opens, with a 7:30 AM ET call. The number that should shape how you size any options trade around this print isn’t the revenue estimate. It’s this: BABA has missed the Zacks consensus EPS estimate in every one of its last four…
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Retail Earnings Week: Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, and Walmart Options Setups
Five of the market’s most closely watched retailers report earnings inside one 72-hour window this week, and the options market is not pricing them the same way. Lowe’s expected move sits around 4%, Target’s is closer to 7%, the widest of the group, and Walmart’s implied swing works out to roughly $42 billion of market…
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Analog Devices (ADI) Q3 FY2026 Earnings Options: Pricing the 5.8% Expected Move Ahead of Wednesday’s Report
ADI reports Q3 FY2026 results Wednesday, August 19 with options pricing a 5.8% move. Here’s the expected-move math, ADI’s history of blowing past it, and how to think about the setup.
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Toll Brothers (TOL) Q3 2026 Earnings Options Setup: Pricing a Luxury Homebuilder Into the Rate-Cut Debate
Toll Brothers reports fiscal third-quarter 2026 results Tuesday, August 18, after the market close, and options traders are treating it as more than one homebuilder’s quarter. TOL sits at the luxury, move-up end of housing, where buyers write bigger checks and lean less on a mortgage than at an entry-level builder, which makes its options…
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Applied Materials (AMAT) Q3 FY2026 Earnings Recap: Record Beat, China Slide, and a Familiar Beat-and-Fall Drop
Applied Materials beat on both lines Thursday night and the stock still fell nearly 4% after hours. If that sounds backwards, it is the same “beat and fall” pattern that has shown up across this earnings season, and it is a cleaner lesson in reading guidance than any textbook definition of implied volatility. Key Takeaway…