Market Analysis

  • CarMax Q1 FY2027 Earnings: KMX Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    CarMax Q1 FY2027 Earnings: KMX Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    CarMax reports Q1 FY2027 earnings before the market opens on Tuesday, June 17, which means options traders have roughly 48 hours left in the setup window. The stock has been under pressure from high interest rates squeezing auto loan affordability, used car prices normalizing from pandemic-era highs, and consumers pulling back on big-ticket discretionary purchases.…

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  • Adobe Q2 FY2026 Earnings Recap: ADBE Post-Earnings Options Analysis

    Adobe Q2 FY2026 Earnings Recap: ADBE Post-Earnings Options Analysis

    Adobe beat its Q2 FY2026 earnings estimates on both revenue and EPS, raised full-year guidance, and reported that its AI-first annual recurring revenue tripled year over year to exceed $500 million. Then the stock fell 6.2% after the report and continued lower the following session. If this pattern feels familiar, that is because it is:…

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  • FedEx Q4 FY2026 Earnings: FDX Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    FedEx Q4 FY2026 Earnings: FDX Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    FedEx reports Q4 FY2026 results on June 23, 2026 after market close, and this one carries more context than a typical quarterly print. It is the first earnings report since FedEx completed the spin-off of FedEx Freight into a separate publicly traded company (ticker: FDXF) on June 1. Options traders watching the expected move and…

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  • Oracle Q4 FY2026 Earnings Recap: ORCL Post-Earnings Options Analysis

    Oracle Q4 FY2026 Earnings Recap: ORCL Post-Earnings Options Analysis

    Oracle beat on both the top and bottom line Wednesday night, then watched its stock drop more than 10% anyway. That gap between a clean earnings beat and a brutal stock reaction is exactly the kind of post-earnings puzzle that options traders need to understand. Here is what actually happened with ORCL on June 10,…

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  • Adobe Q2 FY2026 Earnings: ADBE Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Adobe Q2 FY2026 Earnings: ADBE Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Options are pricing a ±8.8% move for Adobe’s Q2 FY2026 earnings report on June 11, 2026 after the close. Last quarter, Adobe beat estimates by nearly 11% and still fell 7.58% the next day. The market is not grading Adobe on current profits: it is grading Adobe on whether AI is eating its business. Key…

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  • Oracle Q4 FY2026 Earnings: Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Oracle Q4 FY2026 Earnings: Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Oracle reports Q4 FY2026 results on June 10, 2026 after market close. Options are pricing a 12.5% expected move heading into the print. Oracle’s actual post-earnings move has averaged 13% over the past eight quarters. That alignment matters: options are priced in line with what Oracle historically delivers, meaning neither sellers nor buyers have a…

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  • Apple WWDC 2026 Options Playbook: Trading AAPL Around the Siri 2.0 Reveal

    Apple WWDC 2026 Options Playbook: Trading AAPL Around the Siri 2.0 Reveal

    Apple’s options market is treating WWDC like an earnings event. With Siri 2.0 and Apple Intelligence 2.0 expected at Monday’s keynote, June expiry options are pricing a ±6.2% move: 63% above the historical WWDC average of ±3.8%. That gap is the setup. Key Takeaways AAPL June expiry options are pricing a ±6.2% move into WWDC…

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  • Broadcom Q2 FY2026 Post-Earnings Recap: Strong Numbers, Soft Reaction, and What the Options Market Got Right

    Broadcom Q2 FY2026 Post-Earnings Recap: Strong Numbers, Soft Reaction, and What the Options Market Got Right

    Broadcom reported its best quarter ever on June 3, 2026, after the market close, and the stock fell. Revenue beat expectations, AI chip revenue beat the company’s own forecast, and earnings per share beat analyst estimates. The stock still dropped roughly 6 to 7 percent after hours. For options traders who bought a straddle going…

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  • Costco Q3 FY2026 Post-Earnings Recap: Stock Dropped 4.7% Despite Earnings Beat

    Costco Q3 FY2026 Post-Earnings Recap: Stock Dropped 4.7% Despite Earnings Beat

    Costco beat its Q3 FY2026 earnings per share estimate by a single cent, then fell 4.7% the next day, exceeding the expected move that options had priced in. That outcome illustrates the core challenge in premium selling around earnings: even a technical beat does not guarantee the stock stays inside the implied range. Key Takeaways…

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  • Broadcom Q2 FY2026 Earnings: Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Broadcom Q2 FY2026 Earnings: Options Expected Move and Pre-Earnings IV Setup

    Broadcom (AVGO) reports Q2 FY2026 results after market close on June 3, making it the final major AI infrastructure earnings event of the current cycle, the same cycle that produced Snowflake’s +36% move and Dell’s +24% move against their respective expected ranges. The options market has priced in a 9.52% expected move for the June…

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